Wednesday, 10/17
9:25am EDT

A nice day in store for the DMV region with temps mid-to-upper 60's and plenty of sunshine, but it'll be breezy one as winds ahead of/associated with another cold front get pulled into the region by a low pressure center well to the N in Canada.

Average highs/lows this time of year:

D.C. (Reagan National Airport) = 68/50

Baltimore (BWI Airport) = 66/45

Dulles, VA (Dulles International Airport) = 68/43

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Tuesday, 10/16
12:00pm EDT

Cooler with mixed skies after a cold front moved off to the south and east of the region.  More sunshine ahead or the remainder of the week with a slight warm-up Wednesday into the mid-to-upper 60's followed by a cool down into the low-to-mid 50's Thursday as a reinforcing cold front moves thru late WED PM/early THU AM.

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Monday, 10/15
4:10pm EDT

A warm front has lifted north of the area and, as a result, temps have climbed up into the upper 60's to mid 70's in the DMV region, but it'll be short-lived warmth for the region before a cold front moves thru later tonight and thru the overnight hours.  Some additional showers will occur across the DMV from this afternoon into possibly as late as the early morning hours Tuesday and temps will drop back into the 60-65 degree range on Tuesday before some mid-to-upper 60's Wednesday...all before a reinforcing cold front moves thru mid-week from the west and delivers much cooler highs that will only be in the mid-50's on Thursday.

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Monday, 10/15
6:30am EDT

Early morning showers today as a warm front moves thru the region, allowing temps to warm back up into the 70's for a day before a cold front moves thru later tonight into the overnight hours.  Some additional showers likely later tonight or into the early morning hours Tuesday, which will cause temps to drop back into the 60's on Tuesday and Wednesday before a reinforcing cold front moves thru mid-week and highs are only in the 50's on Thursday.

Overall, though, not too much rain is expected and the DMV region should see a fairly normal, albeit below-average temp-wise, October weather week on the whole.
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Sunday, 10/14
7:30am EDT

An unexpected area of clouds and showers - not in our original 4cast at all for the day - are heading northeast quickly toward DMV region and the end result will be much more cloudiness than originally expected and likely even some scattered showers late morning and early afternoon.

WHY?

This is due to a small area of moisture coming out of the Southern Plains, where warm air running into cooler has developed a pocket of showers in the skies above, and it is being transported very quickly via a strong jet stream flow of air aloft - despite high pressure having settled into place directly over the DMV region.

Therefore, keep a jacket and umbrella handy for the day ahead.

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Saturday, 10/13
10:40am EDT

EARLY AM SHOWERS are clearing out to the east of the DMV region and the skies above will clear out, producing PM sunshine and highs near 60 degrees.

As for lows overnight into SUNDAY AM, HIGH PRESSURE will move in overhead and temps will drop into the 40's everywhere across the DMV region and there may even be some 30's in the mix as winds calm setting the stage for a very nice, settled and sunny 60 degree Sunday across the area.

Bundle up.  Have fun.  Be safe:)

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Friday, 10/12
1:40pm EDT

MICHAEL has cleared out well to the northeast of the DMV region over the Atlantic, and the skies above have cleared out, as well, delivering a very comfortable day across the area.

There will be a chance for AM clouds and light rain on Saturday, but skies will clear in the afternoon and will stay clear with tons of sunshine all of Sunday, with high temps each day in the upper 50's to mid 60's.

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Friday, 10/12
8:05am EDT

Say goodbye to MICHAEL and hello to the first true fall weather of the season across the DMV region after a cold front moved through overnight and is allowing much cooler air to filter in from the NW.  Temps will drop steadily throughout the day from the 60's into the 50's and the DMV region will see lows in the 40's SAT & SUN mornings for the first time in months.

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Thursday, 10/11
9:30pm EDT

MICHAEL is bringing a strong concentration of very heavy rainfall along and east of Interstate 95 from Fredericksburg to Baltimore...especially S-SE-E of Washington, D.C. This rainfall is triggering moderate-to-severe FLASH FLOODING in many areas in this region and will likely spread flooding rains into the MD Eastern Shore region between 10pm and 4am EDT.

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Thursday, 10/11
3:40pm EDT

As MICHAEL continues moving NE and a cold front continues to approach from the W, it is becoming more and more likely that the two will cause a bit of an "atmospheric squeeze" over the DMV region, possibly with a concentration E of Interstate 95...especially E of the Chesapeake Bay, which could trigger moderate-to-severe FLASH FLOODING in these areas.

Combine the heavy rainfall with gusty winds 30-50+ mph in spots and there is also a small but tangible FALLING TREE THREAT in these same areas.

Stay tuned for updates as conditions across the region could become dangerous from approximately 6pm tonight thru 6am tomorrow morning.

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Thursday, 10/11
1:00pm EDT

MICHAEL continues moving NE toward the VA Tidewater/Lower Chesapeake Bay region.  As a result, there is a growing likelihood of moderate-to-heavy rain in the DMV region, especially along and east of Interstate 95.  Generalized amounts of rain for the overall region are in the 1-3" range, while some spots could see 5" or more of total rainfall in a time frame approximately between 6pm THUR and 6am FRI.

Gusty winds will also enter the picture later today and thru Friday with winds 15-30 mph, gusting to 40-50 mph at times in certain spots.

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Thursday, 10/11
10:20am EDT

MICHAEL - now a Tropical Storm - will move just to the SE of the DMV later tonight into FRI AM, which will help bring potential flash flooding w/rainfall of several inches along with gusty winds over 40 mph and even a potential for severe t'storms due to the combo of MICHAEL's circulation and a cold front coming in from the west.
 
Speaking of that cold front, it will move thru in the early FRI AM hours and temps will drop all day FRI from upper 60's/lower 70's at 12am into the 50's by the evening rush hour...with SAT AM lows 45-55.
 
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